The HBAR price has been sliding since mid-January, with recent market conditions accelerating its downturn.
As the bull market matured, broader economic concerns—such as US President Trump’s “tariff war” and tensions among NATO allies—have weighed on even the foremost altcoins.
Hedera is among those hit the hardest, down almost 50% since its post-inauguration rally highs.
While the early week saw this downtrend accelerate in a 15% crash, briefly sending HBAR below $0.17, a rebound has limited the weekly loss to 9.55%.
HBAR Price Analysis: Is Hedera Going to Zero?
The rebound could mark the early stages of a major breakout as HBAR nears the climax of a falling wedge pattern that has been forming since mid-December.
HBAR / USDT 4H chart, falling wedge pattern. Source: Binance.
Indicators now suggest more favorable conditions for an upward move.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has sharply rebounded from oversold territory at 42, while the MACD has formed a golden cross, surpassing the signal line—both signs of exhausted selling pressure.
If a breakout occurs, the pattern sets a HBAR price target of around $0.36, representing a potential 75% gain from current levels.
However, the pattern’s upper resistance continues to push back against the ongoing breakout attempt. A rejection here could lead to a retest of the pattern’s lower support.
If that fails, holding the immediate lower support zone around $0.18 will be crucial to preventing a deeper crash, though $0 seems unlikely given the project’s significant backing and partnerships.
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Despite its potential, HBAR has overlooked this cycle, with competitors like XRP capturing market attention.
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